Single poll

INSA poll of 29 April 2017 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
26 to 28 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,004
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU33.0%
  • SPD29.0%
  • Grüne12.0%
  • FDP10.0%
  • Linke5.0%
  • AfD5.0%
  • SSW4.0%
  • Others2.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points lower and CDU 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.5average 31.5
  • CDU +1.5average 31.5
  • FDP +1.0average 9.0
  • SSW +1.0average 3.0
  • Linke +0.5average 4.5
  • AfD -0.5average 5.5
  • Grüne ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 23 seatsSPD: 20 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsFDP: 7 seatsLinke: 4 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 3 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU23
  • SPD20
  • Grüne8
  • FDP7
  • Linke4
  • AfD4
  • SSW3
  • CDU + SPD43 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP38 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke35 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD35 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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