Single poll

INSA poll of 29 March 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
21 to 28 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,008
Method
Online
  • CDU28.0%+3.0
  • SPD27.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • SSW4.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler2.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Feb 2022, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 7.2 points higher and CDU 6.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +7.2average 19.8
  • CDU -6.0average 34.0
  • Grüne -3.8average 19.8
  • FDP +2.0average 9.0
  • AfD +0.5average 5.5
  • SSW -0.5average 4.5
  • Linke +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 21 seatsSPD: 20 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsFDP: 8 seatsAfD: 5 seatsSSW: 3 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU21
  • SPD20
  • Grüne12
  • FDP8
  • AfD5
  • SSW3
  • CDU + SPD41 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP41 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP40 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD38 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD37 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + SSW36 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + SSW35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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