INSA poll of 3 May 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Apr 2022 to 2 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU36.0%+8.0
- SPD20.0%-7.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-2.0
- AfD6.0%±0
- SSW5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Mar 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 25 Apr 2022 to 2 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Mar 2022, CDU gains 8.0 points, SPD loses 7.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.5average 38.5
- FDP +1.3average 7.7
- AfD +0.8average 5.2
- SPD +0.3average 19.7
- Grüne -0.3average 16.3
- SSW +0.3average 4.7
- Linke +0.3average 2.7
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU27
- SPD15
- Grüne12
- FDP7
- AfD4
- SSW4
- CDU + SPD42 of 69
- CDU + Grüne39 of 69
- CDU + FDP + AfD38 of 69
- CDU + FDP + SSW38 of 69
- CDU + AfD + SSW35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.