Single poll

INSA poll of 25 April 2023 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
17 to 24 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU39.0%+3.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • SPD16.0%-4.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • SSW7.0%+2.0
  • Linke2.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2022, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, SSW gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 6.0 points lower and CDU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -6.0average 23.0
  • CDU +3.0average 36.0
  • FDP +3.0average 5.0
  • AfD -1.0average 8.0
  • SSW +1.0average 6.0
  • SPD ±0average 16.0
  • Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 29 seatsSPD: 12 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsFDP: 6 seatsAfD: 5 seatsSSW: 5 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU29
  • SPD12
  • Grüne12
  • FDP6
  • AfD5
  • SSW5
  • CDU + SPD41 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne41 of 69
  • CDU + FDP35 of 69
  • CDU + AfD + SSW39 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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