Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 10 March 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
3 to 8 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,168
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU33.0%+5.0
  • SPD20.0%-3.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • SSW4.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jan 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,168 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jan 2022, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 6.5 points lower and CDU 5.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -6.5average 26.5
  • CDU +5.5average 27.5
  • Grüne +4.0average 16.0
  • FDP -1.5average 10.5
  • AfD -0.5average 6.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
  • SSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 25 seatsSPD: 15 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsFDP: 7 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 3 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU25
  • SPD15
  • Grüne15
  • FDP7
  • AfD4
  • SSW3
  • CDU + SPD40 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne40 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP37 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + AfD36 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + SSW35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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