Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 April 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 920
- Method
- Online
- CDU39.5%+2.5
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- AfD4.5%±0
- SSW4.0%±0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 39.5%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 920 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Apr 2022, CDU gains 2.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 6.5 points higher and FDP 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +6.5average 33.0
- FDP -3.0average 10.0
- SPD -2.5average 23.5
- AfD -1.5average 6.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- Grüne ±0average 16.0
- SSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU31
- SPD17
- Grüne13
- FDP5
- SSW3
- CDU + SPD48 of 69
- CDU + Grüne44 of 69
- CDU + FDP36 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.