Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 April 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Mar 2022 to 2 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 950
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU37.0%+2.0
- SPD22.0%+2.5
- Grüne17.0%-2.5
- FDP6.5%-2.5
- AfD4.5%-0.5
- SSW4.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 950 people were surveyed from 23 Mar 2022 to 2 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Mar 2022, SPD gains 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.5 points, FDP loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 5.0 points higher and FDP 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.0average 32.0
- FDP -3.0average 9.5
- SPD -1.5average 23.5
- AfD -1.5average 6.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- Grüne ±0average 17.0
- SSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU29
- SPD18
- Grüne14
- FDP5
- SSW3
- CDU + SPD47 of 69
- CDU + Grüne43 of 69
- CDU + FDP + SSW37 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP37 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + SSW35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.