Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 March 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 11 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,020
- Method
- Online
- CDU35.0%+5.0
- SPD19.5%-5.5
- Grüne19.5%+2.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- AfD5.0%-1.0
- SSW5.0%±0
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Feb 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 1,020 people were surveyed from 3 to 11 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Feb 2022, SPD loses 5.5 points, CDU gains 5.0 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 6.0 points higher and SPD 4.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +6.0average 29.0
- SPD -4.5average 24.0
- Grüne +2.0average 17.5
- FDP -1.5average 10.5
- AfD -1.5average 6.5
- SSW +1.5average 3.5
- Linke -1.0average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU26
- SPD14
- Grüne14
- FDP7
- AfD4
- SSW4
- CDU + SPD40 of 69
- CDU + Grüne40 of 69
- CDU + FDP + AfD37 of 69
- CDU + FDP + SSW37 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.