Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 February 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 19 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%-1.0
- SPD25.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- AfD6.0%±0
- SSW5.0%-0.5
- Linke3.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Jan 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 19 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Jan 2022, CDU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.5 points higher and FDP 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.5average 26.5
- FDP -2.0average 11.0
- SSW +1.5average 3.5
- AfD -1.0average 7.0
- SPD -0.5average 25.5
- Grüne -0.5average 17.5
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU22
- SPD19
- Grüne13
- FDP7
- AfD4
- SSW4
- CDU + SPD41 of 69
- CDU + Grüne35 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP39 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + AfD36 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + SSW36 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.