Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 January 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 27 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,390
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%+7.0
- SPD25.0%-4.0
- Grüne17.0%-3.0
- FDP8.0%-4.5
- AfD6.0%+2.0
- SSW5.5%+1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Dec 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,390 people were surveyed from 19 to 27 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Dec 2021, CDU gains 7.0 points, FDP loses 4.5 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 6.5 points higher and FDP 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +6.5average 24.5
- FDP -4.0average 12.0
- Grüne -2.0average 19.0
- SSW +2.0average 3.5
- Linke -1.5average 3.5
- AfD -1.0average 7.0
- SPD -0.5average 25.5
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU23
- SPD19
- Grüne13
- FDP6
- AfD4
- SSW4
- CDU + SPD42 of 69
- CDU + Grüne36 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP38 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + AfD36 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + SSW36 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.