Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 December 2021 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 13 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,030
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%±0
- CDU24.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- FDP12.5%-1.5
- SSW4.5%+0.5
- AfD4.0%+1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 Oct 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,030 people were surveyed from 2 to 13 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 Oct 2021, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 7.5 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +7.5average 21.5
- Grüne -2.5average 22.5
- AfD -2.5average 6.5
- Linke -2.0average 4.0
- SSW +1.5average 3.0
- CDU -0.5average 24.5
- FDP ±0average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- SPD22
- CDU19
- Grüne15
- FDP10
- SSW3
- SPD + CDU41 of 69
- SPD + Grüne37 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + FDP44 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + SSW37 of 69
- SPD + FDP + SSW35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.