Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 October 2021 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 24 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 945
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%
- CDU23.0%
- Grüne22.0%
- FDP14.0%
- SSW4.0%
- AfD3.0%
- Linke2.0%
- Others3.0%
29.0%
SPD
23.0%
CDU
22.0%
Grüne
14.0%
FDP
4.0%
SSW
3.0%
AfD
2.0%
Linke
3.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 945 people were surveyed from 14 to 24 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 11.0 points higher and Grüne 5.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +11.0average 18.0
- Grüne -5.0average 27.0
- CDU -3.5average 26.5
- FDP +3.0average 11.0
- AfD -3.0average 6.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.5
- SSW +1.0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- SPD22
- CDU17
- Grüne16
- FDP11
- SSW3
- SPD + CDU39 of 69
- SPD + Grüne38 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + FDP44 of 69
- SPD + FDP + SSW36 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + SSW36 of 69
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.