Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 April 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 913
- Method
- Online
- CDU39.0%-0.5
- SPD18.5%-2.5
- Grüne17.5%+1.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- AfD5.0%+0.5
- SSW5.0%+1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 18.5%. 913 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Apr 2022, SPD loses 2.5 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.3 points higher and SPD 3.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +4.3average 34.7
- SPD -3.2average 21.7
- FDP -2.0average 9.0
- Grüne +1.2average 16.3
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- AfD -0.7average 5.7
- SSW +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU29
- SPD14
- Grüne13
- FDP5
- AfD4
- SSW4
- CDU + SPD43 of 69
- CDU + Grüne42 of 69
- CDU + FDP + AfD38 of 69
- CDU + FDP + SSW38 of 69
- CDU + AfD + SSW37 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.