Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 May 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 May 2022
- Respondents
- 918
- Method
- Online
- CDU39.0%±0
- SPD17.5%-1.0
- Grüne17.5%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- AfD5.5%+0.5
- SSW5.5%+0.5
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 918 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 Apr 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 19.5
- Grüne +1.5average 16.0
- CDU +1.0average 38.0
- FDP -1.0average 8.0
- Linke -0.8average 2.8
- SSW +0.5average 5.0
- AfD -0.3average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU30
- SPD13
- Grüne13
- FDP5
- AfD4
- SSW4
- CDU + SPD43 of 69
- CDU + Grüne43 of 69
- CDU + FDP35 of 69
- CDU + AfD + SSW38 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.