Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 May 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 May 2022
- Respondents
- 940
- Method
- Online
- CDU42.0%+3.0
- Grüne23.5%+6.0
- SPD14.0%-3.5
- SSW6.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- AfD4.0%-1.5
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others3.5%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 42.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.5%. 940 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 May 2022, Grüne gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 3.5 points, CDU gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 7.5 points higher and SPD 5.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +7.5average 16.0
- SPD -5.5average 19.5
- CDU +4.0average 38.0
- FDP -3.0average 8.0
- AfD -1.8average 5.8
- SSW +1.0average 5.0
- Linke -0.8average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU31
- Grüne18
- SPD11
- SSW5
- FDP4
- CDU + Grüne49 of 69
- CDU + SPD42 of 69
- CDU + SSW36 of 69
- CDU + FDP35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.