Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 4 May 2017 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
2 to 4 May 2017
Respondents
1,814
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU32.0%±0
  • SPD29.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+2.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • Linke4.5%-0.5
  • SSW3.0%±0
  • Others2.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,814 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Apr 2017, FDP gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.7average 9.3
  • SPD -1.0average 30.0
  • CDU -0.5average 32.5
  • AfD +0.5average 5.5
  • SSW -0.5average 3.5
  • Linke -0.3average 4.8
  • Grüne ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 24 seatsSPD: 22 seatsGrüne: 9 seatsFDP: 8 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 2 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU24
  • SPD22
  • Grüne9
  • FDP8
  • AfD4
  • SSW2
  • CDU + SPD46 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP41 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP39 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD37 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + AfD36 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne + SSW35 of 69
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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