Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 April 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,011
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU38.0%+6.0
  • SPD19.0%-10.0
  • Grüne17.0%+5.0
  • FDP7.0%-4.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • SSW5.0%+2.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.5
  • Others5.0%+2.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 4 May 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 4 May 2017, SPD loses 10.0 points, CDU gains 6.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 3.0 points higher and SPD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 35.0
  • SPD -2.5average 21.5
  • FDP -2.0average 9.0
  • AfD +0.7average 5.3
  • Grüne +0.5average 16.5
  • SSW +0.3average 4.7
  • Linke +0.3average 2.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 28 seatsSPD: 14 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsFDP: 5 seatsAfD: 5 seatsSSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU28
  • SPD14
  • Grüne13
  • FDP5
  • AfD5
  • SSW4
  • CDU + SPD42 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne41 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + AfD38 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + SSW37 of 69
  • CDU + AfD + SSW37 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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