Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
2 to 5 May 2022
Respondents
1,704
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU38.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • SSW6.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Apr 2022.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,704 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Apr 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.9average 16.1
  • SPD -1.4average 19.4
  • SSW +1.0average 5.0
  • AfD +0.5average 5.5
  • CDU -0.3average 38.3
  • FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 28 seatsSPD: 14 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsFDP: 6 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU28
  • SPD14
  • Grüne13
  • FDP6
  • AfD4
  • SSW4
  • CDU + SPD42 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne41 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + AfD38 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + SSW38 of 69
  • CDU + AfD + SSW36 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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