2024 European election in Germany: the result
In the European election on 9 June 2024, CDU/CSU became the largest party with 30.0%, 14.1 points ahead of AfD (15.9%).
- Biggest move since 2019
- Grüne −8.6 · AfD +4.9 · Linke −2.8
- Failed to clear the threshold
- Piraten (0.5%), NPD (0.1%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 0.8 points per party on average, Grüne overestimated by 2.7
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2024 European election
Turnout in the European election on 9 June 2024 was 64.8%. The European Parliament (German seats) has 96 seats; a majority needs 49.
Shares in percent, change on the election of 26 May 2019 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2024 (%) | 2019 (%) | Change | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU/CSU | 30.0% | 28.9% | +1.1 | 29 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 15.9% | 11.0% | +4.9 | 15 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 13.9% | 15.8% | -1.9 | 14 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 11.9% | 20.5% | -8.6 | 12 |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | 6.2% | – | new | 6 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.2% | 5.4% | -0.2 | 5 |
| Die Linke | 2.7% | 5.5% | -2.8 | 3 |
| Freie Wähler | 2.7% | 2.2% | +0.5 | 3 |
| Volt Deutschland | 2.6% | 0.7% | +1.9 | 3 |
| Die PARTEI | 1.9% | 2.4% | -0.5 | 2 |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | 1.4% | 1.4% | ±0 | 1 |
| Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei | 0.6% | 1.0% | -0.4 | 1 |
| Piratenpartei | 0.5% | 0.7% | -0.2 | – |
| Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 0.1% | 0.3% | -0.2 | – |
| Others | 4.4% | 4.2% | +0.2 | – |
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.1
- AfD15.9%+4.9
- SPD13.9%-1.9
- Grüne11.9%-8.6
- BSW6.2%
- FDP5.2%-0.2
- Linke2.7%-2.8
- Freie Wähler2.7%+0.5
- Volt2.6%+1.9
- Die PARTEI1.9%-0.5
- Tierschutzpartei1.4%±0
- ÖDP0.6%-0.4
- Piraten0.5%-0.2
- NPD0.1%-0.2
- Others4.4%+0.2
Change compared with the 2019 election.
Source: Federal Returning Officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 96 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the European Parliament (German seats) after the 2024 result
96 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. No electoral threshold.
- CDU/CSU29
- AfD15
- SPD14
- Grüne12
- BSW6
- FDP5
- Linke3
- Freie Wähler3
- Volt3
- Die PARTEI2
- ÖDP1
- Tierschutzpartei1
- Familie1
Which alliances had a majority after the 2024 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD58 of 96
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne56 of 96
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne55 of 96
- CDU/CSU + AfD + BSW50 of 96
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP49 of 96
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW49 of 96
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2024 European election
12 polls between 16 May 2024 and 8 Jun 2024, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | CDU/CSU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | BSW | FDP | Linke | Freie Wähler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Jun 2024 | 30 | 15.5 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | ||
| Ipsos | 7 Jun 2024 | 30 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 Jun 2024 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 3 Jun 2024 | 30.5 | 15 | 13.5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2.5 | ||
| INSA | 1 Jun 2024 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 30 May 2024 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 30 May 2024 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | ||
| INSA | 25 May 2024 | 30 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | ||
| YouGov | 24 May 2024 | 29 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 May 2024 | 31 | 16 | 12.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 2.5 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 May 2024 | 31 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – | ||
| INSA | 16 May 2024 | 29 | 17 | 15.5 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | ||
| Min – Max | 29–31 | 14–20 | 12.5–16 | 13–15 | 5–7.5 | 3.5–5 | 2.5–4 | 2.5–3 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 8 Jun 2024
Who came closest before the 2024 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU/CSU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | BSW | FDP | Linke | Freie Wähler | Volt | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 9 Jun 2024 | 30.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | ||
| INSA | 1 Jun 2024 (8 days before) | -1.0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +1.1 | +0.8 | -1.2 | +0.3 | +0.3 | – | 0.6 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 8 Jun 2024 (1 day before) | ±0 | -0.4 | -1.4 | +1.6 | +1.3 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.2 | – | 0.7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 Jun 2024 (3 days before) | ±0 | -1.9 | +0.1 | +2.1 | +0.8 | -1.2 | +0.3 | – | +0.4 | 0.9 |
| Ipsos | 7 Jun 2024 (2 days before) | ±0 | -1.9 | +1.1 | +3.1 | +0.8 | -0.2 | +0.3 | +0.3 | – | 1.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 May 2024 (10 days before) | -1.0 | -1.9 | +1.1 | +2.1 | -0.2 | -1.2 | +0.3 | +0.3 | – | 1.0 |
| YouGov | 24 May 2024 (16 days before) | -1.0 | +4.1 | +2.1 | +3.1 | -0.2 | -1.2 | +1.3 | – | – | 1.9 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.