Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 May 2024 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,197
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- BSW6.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others13.0%±0
Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 May 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,197 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 May 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.3average 16.3
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- BSW -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU33
- Grüne17
- SPD16
- AfD15
- BSW7
- FDP4
- Linke4
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.