Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 June 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
5 to 6 Jun 2024
Respondents
1,223
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • BSW7.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Volt3.0%
  • Others11.0%-2.0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 May 2024.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 14.0%. 1,223 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 May 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Volt 2.5 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Volt +2.5average 0.5
  • AfD -2.0average 16.0
  • SPD -1.3average 15.3
  • BSW +1.0average 6.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 14.5
  • FDP +0.2average 3.8
  • Linke -0.2average 3.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 33 seatsSPD: 15 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 15 seatsBSW: 8 seatsFDP: 4 seatsLinke: 3 seatsVolt: 3 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU33
  • SPD15
  • Grüne15
  • AfD15
  • BSW8
  • FDP4
  • Linke3
  • Volt3
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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