Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 May 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 May 2024
Respondents
1,247
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-2.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • BSW5.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others13.0%±0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Apr 2024.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,247 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Apr 2024, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has BSW 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -1.5average 6.5
  • SPD -0.9average 14.9
  • AfD -0.8average 15.8
  • FDP +0.4average 3.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 30.7
  • Grüne +0.2average 14.8
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 34 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsAfD: 17 seatsSPD: 15 seatsBSW: 6 seatsFDP: 4 seatsLinke: 3 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU34
  • Grüne17
  • AfD17
  • SPD15
  • BSW6
  • FDP4
  • Linke3
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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