Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 June 2024 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 7 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.5%-1.5
- SPD12.5%-1.0
- BSW7.5%+1.5
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Freie Wähler2.5%±0
- Others11.5%+4.0
Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Jun 2024.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 15.5%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 6 to 7 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Jun 2024, Grüne loses 1.5 points, BSW gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.5average 15.0
- BSW +1.3average 6.2
- Grüne -0.7average 14.2
- FDP +0.5average 4.0
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 3.0
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- AfD ±0average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU32
- AfD17
- Grüne15
- SPD13
- BSW8
- FDP5
- Linke3
- Freie Wähler3
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.