Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 June 2024 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 27 May 2024 to 1 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%-0.5
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- SPD13.5%+1.0
- BSW6.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.5%±0
- Die PARTEI1.5%±0
- Tierschutzpartei1.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+1.0
Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 May 2024.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 27 May 2024 to 1 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 May 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 15.3
- AfD -0.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 30.0
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 3.0
- Die PARTEI +0.5average 1.0
- Tierschutzpartei -0.5average 2.0
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- BSW ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU32
- Grüne15
- AfD15
- SPD14
- BSW6
- FDP4
- Linke3
- Freie Wähler3
- Die PARTEI2
- Tierschutzpartei2
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.