INSA poll of 16 May 2024 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- t-online
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,100
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Tierschutzpartei2.0%
- Others5.5%-1.5
Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,100 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by t-online.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Apr 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.6 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 15.6
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 30.9
- AfD +1.6average 15.4
- Linke +1.2average 2.8
- BSW +1.1average 5.9
- SPD +0.7average 14.8
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- Tierschutzpartei -0.5average 2.5
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU30
- AfD17
- SPD16
- Grüne13
- BSW7
- FDP4
- Linke4
- Freie Wähler3
- Tierschutzpartei2
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.