Single poll

Ipsos poll of 7 June 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
29 May 2024 to 5 Jun 2024
Respondents
2,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%-2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%-2.0
  • BSW7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+4.0

Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 20 Mar 2024.

In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 29 May 2024 to 5 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 20 Mar 2024, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has AfD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.7average 15.7
  • FDP +1.2average 3.8
  • BSW +1.0average 6.0
  • Grüne +0.8average 14.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
  • SPD +0.2average 14.8
  • Freie Wähler +0.1average 2.9
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 31 seatsSPD: 16 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsAfD: 15 seatsBSW: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsLinke: 3 seatsFreie Wähler: 3 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU31
  • SPD16
  • Grüne16
  • AfD15
  • BSW7
  • FDP5
  • Linke3
  • Freie Wähler3
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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