Ipsos poll of 20 March 2024 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- Euronews
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Feb 2024 to 5 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 2,613
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD16.0%+4.0
- BSW7.0%
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Linke4.0%-3.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-3.0
Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 24 May 2019.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,613 people were surveyed from 23 Feb 2024 to 5 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Euronews.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 24 May 2019, AfD gains 4.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 31.3
- SPD +2.3average 14.7
- Grüne +2.3average 13.7
- BSW +1.3average 5.7
- Linke +1.2average 2.8
- AfD -1.0average 17.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU29
- SPD17
- Grüne16
- AfD16
- BSW7
- FDP4
- Linke4
- Freie Wähler3
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.