Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 April 2026 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
8 to 13 Apr 2026
Respondents
1,155
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU33.0%-5.0
  • Grüne19.0%+2.0
  • AfD15.0%+7.0
  • SPD12.0%-3.0
  • Linke6.0%
  • SSW5.0%-2.0
  • FDP4.0%-4.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Apr 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,155 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Apr 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Apr 2023, AfD gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 25 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 11 seatsSPD: 9 seatsLinke: 5 seatsSSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU25
  • Grüne15
  • AfD11
  • SPD9
  • Linke5
  • SSW4
  • CDU + Grüne40 of 69
  • CDU + AfD36 of 69
  • CDU + SPD + Linke39 of 69
  • CDU + SPD + SSW38 of 69
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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