Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 April 2023 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
20 to 25 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,160
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU38.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%-4.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%+3.0
  • SSW7.0%+2.0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Apr 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,160 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Apr 2022, SPD loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, SSW gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 3.0 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.0average 20.0
  • FDP +1.5average 6.5
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • CDU +0.5average 37.5
  • AfD +0.5average 7.5
  • SSW +0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 28 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsSPD: 11 seatsFDP: 6 seatsAfD: 6 seatsSSW: 5 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU28
  • Grüne13
  • SPD11
  • FDP6
  • AfD6
  • SSW5
  • CDU + Grüne41 of 69
  • CDU + SPD39 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + AfD40 of 69
  • CDU + FDP + SSW39 of 69
  • CDU + AfD + SSW39 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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