Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 April 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,530
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU38.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD5.0%-1.0
  • SSW5.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Apr 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,530 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Apr 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SSW gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 5.0 points lower and CDU 4.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -5.0average 24.0
  • CDU +4.2average 33.8
  • SSW +1.0average 4.0
  • AfD -0.3average 5.3
  • Grüne ±0average 16.0
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 28 seatsSPD: 14 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsFDP: 7 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU28
  • SPD14
  • Grüne12
  • FDP7
  • AfD4
  • SSW4
  • CDU + SPD42 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne40 of 69
  • CDU + FDP35 of 69
  • CDU + AfD + SSW36 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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