Official final result · 8 May 2022

Schleswig-Holstein state election 2022: the result

In the Schleswig-Holstein state election on 8 May 2022, CDU became the largest party with 43.4%, 25.1 points ahead of Grüne (18.3%). CDU and Grüne have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.

Biggest move since 2017
CDU +11.4 · SPD −11.2 · Grüne +5.4
Failed to clear the threshold
AfD (4.4%), Linke (1.7%), Piraten (0.3%)
Government
CDU + Grüne: 48 of 69 seats
Polls one week before
off by 2.8 points per party on average, CDU underestimated by 7.6
Turnout
60.4%
Status
official final result
Votes

Result of the 2022 state election

Turnout in the Schleswig-Holstein state election on 8 May 2022 was 60.4%. The Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein has 69 seats; a majority needs 35.

Shares in percent, change on the election of 7 May 2017 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.

Schleswig-Holstein state election 2022: result by party and change
PartyVotes 2022 (%)2017 (%)ChangeSeats
Christlich Demokratische Union43.4%32.0%+11.434
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen18.3%12.9%+5.414
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands16.0%27.2%-11.212
Freie Demokratische Partei6.4%11.5%-5.15
Südschleswigscher Wählerverband5.7%3.3%+2.44
Alternative für Deutschland4.4%5.9%-1.5–
Die Linke1.7%3.8%-2.1–
Piratenpartei0.3%1.2%-0.9–
Others3.8%2.2%+1.6–
  • CDU43.4%+11.4
  • Grüne18.3%+5.4
  • SPD16.0%-11.2
  • FDP6.4%-5.1
  • SSW5.7%+2.4
  • AfD4.4%-1.5
  • Linke1.7%-2.1
  • Piraten0.3%-0.9
  • Others3.8%+1.6

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the 2017 election.

Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 69 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV

Official

Seat distribution in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein after the 2022 result

69 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.

CDU: 34 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsSPD: 12 seatsFDP: 5 seatsSSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU34
  • Grüne14
  • SPD12
  • FDP5
  • SSW4
Majorities

Which alliances had a majority after the 2022 election

All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.

Coalition calculator: tap the parties
CDU + Grüne
CDU: 34 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsSPD: 12 seatsFDP: 5 seatsSSW: 4 seats48/69
Majority, 14 seats above half
Majorities
Official seats based on the official result, 69 seats, majority from 35.
  • CDU + GrüneGovernment48 of 69
  • CDU + SPD46 of 69
  • CDU + FDP39 of 69
  • CDU + SSW38 of 69
Before the election

The polls in the last 30 days before the 2022 state election

9 polls between 21 Apr 2022 and 6 May 2022, each one available individually.

Polls before the 2022 Schleswig-Holstein state election
PollsterPublishedCDUGrüneSPDFDPSSWAfDLinkePiraten
Institut Wahlkreisprognose6 May 20223917.517.575.55.52–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5 May 2022381818866––
Civey5 May 20224015207562–
INSA3 May 20223616209563–
Institut Wahlkreisprognose29 Apr 20223917.518.57552–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen29 Apr 20223817197563–
Infratest dimap28 Apr 2022381619955––
Institut Wahlkreisprognose23 Apr 202239.51621744.52–
Infratest dimap21 Apr 2022381620946––
Min – Max36–4015–1817.5–217–94–64.5–62–3–

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Last poll before the election: Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 6 May 2022

Our analysis

Who came closest before the 2022 election?

Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.

Deviation of the last polls before the election of 8 May 2022 from the result, in percentage points
PollsterPoll datedCDUGrüneSPDFDPSSWAfDLinkeØ abs.
Result 8 May 202243.4%18.3%16.0%6.4%5.7%4.4%1.7%
Institut Wahlkreisprognose6 May 2022 (2 days before)-4.4-0.8+1.5+0.6-0.2+1.1+0.31.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5 May 2022 (3 days before)-5.4-0.3+2.0+1.6+0.3+1.6–1.9
Civey5 May 2022 (3 days before)-3.4-3.3+4.0+0.6-0.7+1.6+0.32.0
Infratest dimap28 Apr 2022 (10 days before)-5.4-2.3+3.0+2.6-0.7+0.6–2.4
INSA3 May 2022 (5 days before)-7.4-2.3+4.0+2.6-0.7+1.6+1.32.8

Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.

Accuracy of all pollsters since 2017

More

More elections and polls

Table as CSV

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