Schleswig-Holstein state election 2017: the result
In the Schleswig-Holstein state election on 7 May 2017, CDU became the largest party with 32.0%, 4.8 points ahead of SPD (27.2%).
- Failed to clear the thresholdLinke (3.8%), Piraten (1.2%)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 1.1 points per party on average, SPD overestimated by 2.8
- Statusofficial final result
Result of the 2017 state election
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- CDU32.0%
- SPD27.2%
- Grüne12.9%
- FDP11.5%
- AfD5.9%
- Linke3.8%
- SSW3.3%
- Piraten1.2%
- Others2.2%
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
| Party | 2017 | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 32.0% | 24 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 27.2% | 20 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 12.9% | 10 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 11.5% | 9 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 5.9% | 4 |
| Die Linke | 3.8% | – |
| Südschleswigscher Wählerverband | 3.3% | 2 |
| Piratenpartei | 1.2% | – |
| Others | 2.2% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Sainte-Laguë/Schepers on 69 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein after the 2017 result
69 regular seats by Sainte-Laguë/Schepers. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- CDU24
- SPD20
- Grüne10
- FDP9
- AfD4
- SSW2
Which alliances had a majority after the 2017 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- CDU + SPD44 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + FDP43 of 69
- SPD + Grüne + FDP39 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + AfD38 of 69
- CDU + FDP + AfD37 of 69
- CDU + Grüne + SSW36 of 69
- CDU + FDP + SSW35 of 69
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2017 state election
5 polls between 20 Apr 2017 and 4 May 2017, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | SSW | Piraten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 May 2017 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | 3 | – |
| INSA | 29 Apr 2017 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | – |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Apr 2017 | 32 | 31 | 12 | 8.5 | 6 | 4.5 | 3 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27 Apr 2017 | 32 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | – |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Apr 2017 | 31 | 33 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – |
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 4 May 2017
Who came closest before the 2017 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | SSW | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 7 May 2017 | 32.0% | 27.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 May 2017 (3 days before) | ±0 | +1.8 | -0.9 | -0.5 | +0.1 | +0.7 | -0.3 | 0.6 |
| INSA | 29 Apr 2017 (8 days before) | +1.0 | +1.8 | -0.9 | -1.5 | -0.9 | +1.2 | +0.7 | 1.1 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Apr 2017 (10 days before) | ±0 | +3.8 | -0.9 | -3.0 | +0.1 | +0.7 | -0.3 | 1.3 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.