Party · Schleswig-Holstein
AfD in Schleswig-Holstein: current polling
Alternative für Deutschland in the Sunday question for the state election in Schleswig-Holstein: average of the 2 pollsters whose latest poll is at most 180 days old, comparison with the last election result, trend and house effects.
Schleswig-Holstein, polling average
16.5%
As of 14 Jul 2026, 2 pollsters
Versus election result 8 May 2022
+12.1
Election result 4.4%
Versus a year ago
+2.5
Average on 22 Jan 2025: 14.0%
Rank in the state
3
3 of 7 parties
Polling trend
AfD in the Schleswig-Holstein Sunday question over time
AfD in the Schleswig-Holstein Sunday question over time
Rolling 180-day average, shares in percent
Averaged across all pollsters, AfD stands at 16.5% in Schleswig-Holstein (as of 14 Jul 2026), rank 3 among the parties.
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 14 Jul 2026
By pollster
AfD in Schleswig-Holstein: value per pollster
Latest poll from each pollster within the averaging window, with the pollster's house effect for this party (mean deviation from the other pollsters' average in points).
| Pollster | Date | Value | House effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 14 Jul 2026 | 18.0% | – |
| Infratest dimap | 16 Apr 2026 | 15.0% | – |
States
AfD in all states
Polling average per state parliament, sorted by value; each row leads to the party's state page.
| State | Average | vs. election | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saxony | 42.0% | +11.4 | 1 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 42.0% | – | 1 |
| Thuringia | 40.0% | +7.2 | 1 |
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 36.8% | – | 1 |
| Brandenburg | 35.5% | +6.3 | 1 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 24.0% | +4.5 | 2 |
| Saarland | 23.0% | +17.3 | 3 |
| Hesse | 21.0% | +2.6 | 2 |
| Lower Saxony | 21.0% | +10.1 | 3 |
| Bavaria | 20.0% | +5.4 | 2 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 19.5% | +0.7 | 3 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 19.5% | +14.1 | 2 |
| Berlin | 18.0% | – | 3 |
| Bremen | 16.0% | – | 3 |
| Hamburg | 11.0% | +3.5 | 5 |
Next
More
AfD nationally and in all statesSchleswig-Holstein state election: all polls, seats and coalitionsSunday question Schleswig-Holstein
- How is AfD polling in Schleswig-Holstein right now?
- Averaged across all pollsters, AfD stands at 16.5% in Schleswig-Holstein (as of 14 Jul 2026), rank 3 among the parties.
- How did AfD do in the last Schleswig-Holstein state election?
- In the election on 8 May 2022, AfD won 4.4%. Against that result it is polling +12.1 today.
- When is the next state election in Schleswig-Holstein?
- The next state election in Schleswig-Holstein is 18 April 2027.