Party · Hamburg
AfD in Hamburg: current polling
Alternative für Deutschland in the Sunday question for the state election in Hamburg: average of the 2 pollsters whose latest poll is at most 180 days old, comparison with the last election result, trend and house effects.
Hamburg, polling average
11.0%
As of 20 Jun 2026, 2 pollsters
Versus election result 2 Mar 2025
+3.5
Election result 7.5%
Versus a year ago
+3.0
Average on 31 Oct 2024: 8.0%
Rank in the state
5
5 of 6 parties
Polling trend
AfD in the Hamburg Sunday question over time
AfD in the Hamburg Sunday question over time
Rolling 180-day average, shares in percent
Averaged across all pollsters, AfD stands at 11.0% in Hamburg (as of 20 Jun 2026), rank 5 among the parties.
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 20 Jun 2026
By pollster
AfD in Hamburg: value per pollster
Latest poll from each pollster within the averaging window, with the pollster's house effect for this party (mean deviation from the other pollsters' average in points).
| Pollster | Date | Value | House effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 20 Jun 2026 | 12.0% | – |
| Infratest dimap | 25 Mar 2026 | 10.0% | – |
States
AfD in all states
Polling average per state parliament, sorted by value; each row leads to the party's state page.
| State | Average | vs. election | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saxony | 42.0% | +11.4 | 1 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 42.0% | – | 1 |
| Thuringia | 40.0% | +7.2 | 1 |
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 36.8% | – | 1 |
| Brandenburg | 35.5% | +6.3 | 1 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 24.0% | +4.5 | 2 |
| Saarland | 23.0% | +17.3 | 3 |
| Hesse | 21.0% | +2.6 | 2 |
| Lower Saxony | 21.0% | +10.1 | 3 |
| Bavaria | 20.0% | +5.4 | 2 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 19.5% | +0.7 | 3 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 19.5% | +14.1 | 2 |
| Berlin | 18.0% | – | 3 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 16.5% | +12.1 | 3 |
| Bremen | 16.0% | – | 3 |
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More
AfD nationally and in all statesHamburg state election: all polls, seats and coalitionsSunday question Hamburg
- How is AfD polling in Hamburg right now?
- Averaged across all pollsters, AfD stands at 11.0% in Hamburg (as of 20 Jun 2026), rank 5 among the parties.
- How did AfD do in the last Hamburg state election?
- In the election on 2 March 2025, AfD won 7.5%. Against that result it is polling +3.5 today.
- When is the next state election in Hamburg?
- The next state election in Hamburg is expected spring 2030.