Single poll

Civey poll of 5 May 2022 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
28 Apr 2022 to 5 May 2022
Respondents
1,837
Method
Online
  • CDU40.0%
  • SPD20.0%
  • Grüne15.0%
  • FDP7.0%
  • AfD6.0%
  • SSW5.0%
  • Linke2.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,837 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2022 to 5 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.2average 37.8
  • Grüne -1.9average 16.9
  • FDP -1.3average 8.3
  • SPD +1.1average 18.9
  • Linke -0.8average 2.8
  • AfD +0.5average 5.5
  • SSW -0.3average 5.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 30 seatsSPD: 15 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsFDP: 5 seatsAfD: 4 seatsSSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU30
  • SPD15
  • Grüne11
  • FDP5
  • AfD4
  • SSW4
  • CDU + SPD45 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne41 of 69
  • CDU + FDP35 of 69
  • CDU + AfD + SSW38 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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