Single poll

INSA poll of 22 January 2025 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
13 to 20 Jan 2025
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU39.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%+2.0
  • Grüne13.0%-3.0
  • SSW6.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%-2.0
  • BSW3.0%
  • Freie Wähler2.0%
  • Others3.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Nov 2023.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Nov 2023, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

CDU: 30 seatsSPD: 13 seatsAfD: 11 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsSSW: 5 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • CDU30
  • SPD13
  • AfD11
  • Grüne10
  • SSW5
  • CDU + SPD43 of 69
  • CDU + AfD41 of 69
  • CDU + Grüne40 of 69
  • CDU + SSW35 of 69
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More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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