Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 May 2021 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
21 to 26 May 2021
Respondents
1,220
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU28.0%-6.0
  • Grüne27.0%+9.0
  • SPD15.0%-7.0
  • FDP11.0%+3.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-2.0
  • SSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Apr 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 1,220 people were surveyed from 21 to 26 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Apr 2018, Grüne gains 9.0 points, SPD loses 7.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 6.0 points lower and CDU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -6.0average 21.0
  • CDU +3.0average 25.0
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • Grüne ±0average 27.0
  • FDP ±0average 11.0
  • AfD ±0average 6.0
  • SSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.

Grüne: 21 seatsCDU: 21 seatsSPD: 12 seatsFDP: 8 seatsAfD: 5 seatsSSW: 2 seatsMajority from 3569of 69 seats
  • Grüne21
  • CDU21
  • SPD12
  • FDP8
  • AfD5
  • SSW2
  • Grüne + CDU42 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP41 of 69
  • CDU + SPD + FDP41 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD38 of 69
  • CDU + SPD + AfD38 of 69
  • Grüne + SPD + SSW35 of 69
  • CDU + SPD + SSW35 of 69
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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