Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,470
- Method
- Telefonisch
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Sep 2026.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,470 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Oct 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Sep 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 14.9
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- SPD -0.6average 13.6
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 19.9
- Linke +0.1average 10.9
- AfD ±0average 28.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD200
- CDU/CSU143
- Grüne115
- SPD93
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU343 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD408 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke394 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.