Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,464
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Aug 2026.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,464 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Sep 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Aug 2026, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.3average 12.7
- Linke +0.6average 11.4
- BSW -0.6average 3.6
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 20.3
- Grüne +0.3average 14.7
- AfD -0.1average 28.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD198
- CDU/CSU142
- Grüne106
- SPD99
- Linke85
- AfD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD403 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke389 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.