Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 August 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,451
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD28.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW2.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Jul 2026.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,451 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Aug 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Jul 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.9average 14.1
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.3
  • BSW -1.0average 3.0
  • FDP -0.8average 4.8
  • SPD +0.7average 12.3
  • Linke +0.6average 11.4
  • AfD +0.1average 27.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 198 seatsCDU/CSU: 142 seatsGrüne: 113 seatsSPD: 92 seatsLinke: 85 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD198
  • CDU/CSU142
  • Grüne113
  • SPD92
  • Linke85
  • AfD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD403 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke396 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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