Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 1,456
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,456 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Jul 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Jul 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 21.9
- SPD +0.6average 12.4
- Linke +0.6average 11.4
- AfD -0.5average 27.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD193
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne107
- SPD93
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD393 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke330 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 3 Jul 2026Verian (Emnid), 28 Aug 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.