Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,470
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Jun 2026.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,470 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 13.9
- AfD -0.7average 27.7
- SPD +0.6average 12.4
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 22.3
- Linke -0.2average 11.2
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD193
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne107
- SPD93
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD393 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.