Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
27 May 2026 to 2 Jun 2026
Respondents
1,454
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW2.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 May 2026.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,454 people were surveyed from 27 May 2026 to 2 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 May 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -1.1average 3.1
  • Linke -0.9average 10.9
  • Grüne +0.7average 14.3
  • SPD +0.7average 12.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 22.9
  • FDP -0.1average 4.1
  • AfD ±0average 27.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 193 seatsCDU/CSU: 165 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsSPD: 93 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD193
  • CDU/CSU165
  • Grüne107
  • SPD93
  • Linke72
  • AfD + CDU/CSU358 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD393 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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