Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,448
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Apr 2026.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,448 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Apr 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.5average 26.5
- Grüne +1.0average 14.0
- Linke -0.5average 10.5
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.1average 12.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 24.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD181
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne109
- SPD94
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD377 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.