Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 April 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
30 Mar 2026 to 7 Apr 2026
Respondents
1,460
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • AfD25.0%+2.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Mar 2026.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,460 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2026 to 7 Apr 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Mar 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
  • Linke +0.9average 10.1
  • Grüne +0.7average 13.3
  • FDP -0.5average 3.5
  • SPD +0.2average 13.8
  • BSW -0.2average 3.2
  • AfD -0.1average 25.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 177 seatsAfD: 177 seatsSPD: 99 seatsGrüne: 99 seatsLinke: 78 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU177
  • AfD177
  • SPD99
  • Grüne99
  • Linke78
  • CDU/CSU + AfD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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