Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,471
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- AfD23.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Feb 2026.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,471 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Mar 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Feb 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 24.1
- Grüne +0.8average 12.2
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- BSW -0.4average 3.4
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 26.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD165
- SPD107
- Grüne93
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.