Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 February 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Feb 2026
Respondents
1,472
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • AfD24.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jan 2026.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,472 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Feb 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jan 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.2average 25.2
  • Linke +0.8average 10.2
  • FDP +0.4average 3.6
  • BSW -0.4average 3.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 25.3
  • SPD -0.1average 15.1
  • Grüne -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsAfD: 174 seatsSPD: 108 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • AfD174
  • SPD108
  • Grüne87
  • Linke80
  • CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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