Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,455
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,455 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jan 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Dec 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 25.2
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- AfD -0.7average 25.7
- Grüne +0.7average 12.3
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD177
- SPD106
- Grüne92
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 10 Dec 2025Verian (Emnid), 11 Feb 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.