Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,443
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others3.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Nov 2025.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Dec 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Nov 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Freie Wähler 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +2.0average 1.0
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 25.7
- AfD -0.7average 25.7
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- SPD -0.5average 14.5
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD181
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.