Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 6 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU18.0%-4.5
- Grüne16.5%+1.0
- FDP13.5%+2.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Nov 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 1 to 6 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.5 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 3.9 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.9average 21.9
- SPD +3.0average 26.0
- Linke -1.2average 5.2
- FDP +0.9average 12.6
- Grüne +0.5average 16.0
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD207
- CDU/CSU129
- Grüne118
- FDP97
- AfD79
- SPD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.